William Ruto leads the latest poll (Infotrak July 2026) on 32%, ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka on 13%. No candidate is near the 50% + 1 needed to win in round one, so a runoff is the likely outcome.
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Tuesday 10 August 2027, the second Tuesday of August. That is 313 days away.
William Ruto leads the latest poll (Infotrak July 2026) on 32%, ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka on 13%. No candidate is near the 50% + 1 needed to win in round one, so a runoff is the likely outcome.
Our tracker follows William Ruto, Kalonzo Musyoka, Fred Matiangi, Edwin Sifuna, Rigathi Gachagua. Candidates only become official once the IEBC clears their nomination papers.
A candidate must win more than 50% of all votes cast and at least 25% of the votes in more than half of the 47 counties (24 counties). Otherwise the top two face a runoff within 30 days. Read the full explainer.
The two leading candidates go to a runoff held within 30 days. How a runoff works.
Headlines and media tone update about every two hours. Polls and analysis update twice a week. Methodology and sources.
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